Sunday, December 31, 2006

The View from the Peak

(Note: Tomorrow I should finally get around to finishing and posting the next installment of my series. Tonight this is a rumination upon the current situation of the world.)

History may well look back upon 2006 and 2007 as the final days of civilization as we know it. Things are changing, and that change may soon accelerate. The signs are everywhere: in decaying infrastructure, wars over oil, falling currencies and teetering economies, and in changing climates. You can see them if you look, and feel them in your bones.

I have always wondered what the folks living in the last days of Ancient Rome felt like. Now I think I know. We stand at the edge of a precipice and will soon go over, like it or not. Rome did not fall in a day, and neither will global predatory capitalism –but it will feel like it, and somewhere in an as yet unimagined future history teachers may cover our time in less than a day.

Or perhaps not, depending on how we choose. We stand at the most momentous crossroads of human history. There are so many converging catastrophes right now, the wonder will be if we don’t plunge into yet another Dark Ages. Peak Oil is here. Like it or not, we face the downslope of Hubbert’s Curve. The question before us now is how steep the slope will be. Climate change is also here. One-third of the world will become desert in my lifetime. Half the population of the entire planet will die of thirst or drown as sea levels rise. Many will starve to death as crop yields collapse. The world’s economies are on the verge of a major depression.

My only hope as we head into the future is that we will come through on the other side, and discover something far better than what we have now: a world and a society worth living in. This is my hope and my prayer as we enter into yet another new year.

Many folks are out celebrating tonight. I am home, quietly nursing a beer and trying to decide whether I should mourn the past or toast the future.

Bottoms up.

Saturday, December 30, 2006

High Theater in Baghdad

Saddam swung this morning. Not that this will surprise anyone who hasn't been living under a rock for a while, but I thought I would state the obvious.

I can't even pretend to have sympathy for the man. He was a total monster, after all. A power hungry sociopath at the least, a war criminal, and all the other atrocious things he's been accused of. But let's get real for a second; his fair trial wasn't, his judge was replaced in the middle of the trial, attorneys were assassinated left and right, they didn't even pretend to listen to his appeal, and basically said "go swing". And this is fair?

And then there's his hanging. They denied it was going to happen until it did, everything was done in secret, and the executioner's wore black masks. It happened at dawn no less. This reminds me of some melodramatic western. "As the sun slowly rose above the horizon on the last day of the year and cast the first of its hallowed rays on the High Plains, the condemned man climbed the scaffolding, a resolute look on his craggy, hardened face." Sounds like a Clint Eastwood script doesn't it?

Then there's the statement released from the White House, with a timeline of our Idiot in Chief's activities last night, which was careful to state he went to bed before the execution and was not awakened when it occured. Said statement caused me to snort hot coffee out of my nose. I'd be willing to bet he watched the whole thing on closed circuit TV. (Maybe with popcorn to boot!)

This whole thing has his fingerprints all over it. The "cowboy" who isn't, pretending to deliver justice to the wilds of Iraq. I can't help but wonder though, if he might have felt a chill as he watched this. Saddam was hanged for ordering the deaths of 169 innocent men. A war crime to be sure. But our President has caused the deaths of over 655,000 civilians since he started his little war. Not that I think he'll ever face a war crimes tribunal, mind you. But I wonder if he even noticed the similarities?

Friday, December 29, 2006

Breaking News -Massive Artic Ice Shelf Collapses Into Sea, Miles from North Pole

I've copied the article in full below, and the link above it. The emphasis is added. Remember what I said in the last Social Justice letter? The tipping point has been reached. It's decision time. We have a choice to make, personally and collectively.

http://www.kare11.com/news/national/national_article.aspx?storyid=144846

Huge ice shelf discovered floating in Canadian Arctic
Courtesy: CBC News
A giant ice shelf has snapped free from an island south of the North Pole, scientists said Thursday, citing climate change as a "major" reason for the event.The Ayles Ice Shelf - all 41 square miles of it - broke clear 16 months ago from the coast of Ellesmere Island, about 500 miles south of the North Pole in the Canadian Arctic.Scientists discovered the event by using satellite imagery.

Within one hour of breaking free, the shelf had formed as a new ice island, leaving a trail of icy boulders floating in its wake.Warwick Vincent of Laval University, who studies Arctic conditions, traveled to the newly formed ice island and couldn't believe what he saw."This is a dramatic and disturbing event. It shows that we are losing remarkable features of the Canadian North that have been in place for many thousands of years," Vincent said. "We are crossing climate thresholds, and these may signal the onset of accelerated change ahead."

The ice shelf was one of six major shelves remaining in Canada's Arctic. They are packed with ancient ice that is more than 3,000 years old. They float on the sea but are connected to land.Some scientists say it is the largest event of its kind in Canada in 30 years and that climate change was a major element."It is consistent with climate change," Vincent said, adding that the remaining ice shelves are 90 percent smaller than when they were first discovered in 1906. "We aren't able to connect all of the dots ... but unusually warm temperatures definitely played a major role."Laurie Weir, who monitors ice conditions for the Canadian Ice Service, was poring over satellite images in 2005 when she noticed that the shelf had split and separated.Weir notified Luke Copland, head of the new global ice lab at the University of Ottawa, who initiated an effort to find out what happened.Using U.S. and Canadian satellite images, as well as seismic data -- the event registered on earthquake monitors 155 miles away --

Copland discovered that the ice shelf collapsed in the early afternoon of Aug. 13, 2005.
Copland said the speed with which climate change has affected the ice shelves has surprised scientists."Even 10 years ago scientists assumed that when global warming changes occur that it would happen gradually so that perhaps we expected these ice shelves just to melt away quite slowly," he said.

Derek Mueller, a polar researcher with Vincent's team, said the ice shelves get weaker and weaker as temperatures rise. He visited Ellesmere Island in 2002 and noticed that another ice shelf had cracked in half."We're losing our ice shelves and this is a feature of the landscape that is in danger of disappearing altogether from Canada," Mueller said.
Within days of breaking free, the Ayles Ice Shelf drifted about 30 miles offshore before freezing into the sea ice. A spring thaw may bring another concern: that warm temperatures will release the new ice island from its Arctic grip, making it an enormous hazard for ships.

"Over the next few years this ice island could drift into populated shipping routes," Weir said.By

Rob Gillies, Associated Press Writer(Copyright 2006 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

Wednesday, December 27, 2006

Social Justice News, 10-22-06

(Note: This is being sent out late due to an internet connection outage. I hope everyone enjoys it none the less.)

Hey everybody,
The Grinch here. No, not really –I’m certainly not the Grinch, but you might think so after reading this newsletter! There’s not much good news this week, I’m afraid. Hey, I don’t make the news, I just pass it along. I’ve decided that there could just be one headline on every source of news –this, NPR, CNN, newspapers, etc: Thing Are Getting Worse. That pretty much sums it up. Thanks. Now I can have my coffee and go to work. Btw, this will be the last newsletter of the year. I’m going to take next week off. The next Newsletter will go out the first Friday in January.

I also noticed that I forgot to send last week’s newsletter out, so I combined it with this one. My apologies for that. I’m so tired from work lately that I haven’t had the energy to do anything. When I get home from work, I go to bed. When I get up, I go to work. I like this job –in a lot of ways it’s the best job I’ve ever had. There are a lot of things I don’t like however, and I don’t expect I’ll be keeping it long.

For those who are interested in my fight with City Hall, they did approve the layout of that subdivision, but this is the first of three steps so I’ve still got a chance to fight it. I’m working on options right now, including a possible petition. Some of these folks are out of their minds –the guy who owns this land wants to build not just McMansions on the first 50 acres, but Megamansions –bigger than the ones in Governor’s Bend across from the church. (Up to 38,000 sq ft it says on the plans for one lot.) This is completely ridiculous. No one needs a house that size. Furthermore, I find it deeply, completely, and incredibly immoral to own a house like that. I’ll let everyone know how it progresses.

I hope everyone has a safe and happy Christmas, Hanukah, and/or Kwanzaa (and a special Happy Solstice to all my fellow pagans out there).

GOOD NEWS
Because I’m Human: Why a straight man insists on writing about gay issues and stands up for gay rights.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1217-22.htm

CLIMATE CHANGE
I’ve got a couple of things to say on this subject this time, and they are really going to earn me the title of Grinch, but they need to be said so I’m going to say them. This may be the Christmas season, but I don’t see a reason to wait on this. Climate Change is here. It is not something that is going to wait until you’re dead and gone (for you older folks out there) and something that will only affect your kids and grandkids. It is here, now, in the present, and is only going to get worse unless we act now to stop it. This doesn’t just mean calling your congressman, recycling, buying a hybrid SUV, or hauling canvas bags to the grocery store with you. All those actions are good and I’m not trying to diminish them, but they are, at best, band-aids. The time has come and past for band aid solutions. It is time to take personal responsibility for how our actions affect the planet and to take decisive personal action to reduce our impact. The time for excuses, for shifting blame and responsibility onto others, for half-measures done only to make ourselves feel good, is over. People are dying. Seas are rising. Bears are no longer hibernating. The Amazon rain forest is in the middle of a drought –and will collapse if it goes on more than another year. Locally the daffodils are trying to bloom. In December!!!! The very future of our planet hangs in the balance. No longer is it a question of how our children and grandchildren will live in the future –but whether they will live at all. Every action we take has an impact on the planet, whether good, bad, or neutral. We each have a decision to make, one that can not be put off any longer. We stand at the crossroads of history, and what we each choose will help determine the future of all the Earth –or even if there is much of a future at all. Please choose wisely.

At the bottom of the newsletter I have copied an article in full from Sharon Astyk, a Jewish farmer in New York who runs a real good blog at http://casaubonsbook.blogspot.com/


What happens when a bear doesn’t hibernate? We’re about to find out. It’s been too warm this year for bears to hibernate. Other things also are not following their usual patterns. But global warming isn’t real. Right.
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/1221-01.htm

Let them wear hats! Or sweaters. Put on a warm pair of pants, for crying out loud. Someone else finally said it. Some of the “solutions” really aren’t, like programmable thermostats that are more of a bandaid than a help. I call them the easiest way to waste energy while feeling good about yourself. It’s going to take some real effort and work –gasp! –to save the world instead of just recycling or changing the thermostat. God forbid we have to change our lifestyles so that our grandkids can actually live.
http://www.energybulletin.net/23758.html

Swift Boat to Hell: Okay, maybe that’s a bit of an exaggeration, but not too much.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1217-23.htm

We are the solution: It’s time to stop putting the blame on others and start taking personal responsibility for our actions and how they affect the planet.
http://www.alternet.org/envirohealth/45381/

Look! The conservative’s solution to global warming! Hey, it could work…Before you email me in anger, yeah, I know that’s not funny. But it got your attention didn’t it? And I wouldn’t put it past the Idiot in Chief either!
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/12/12/MNGE5MTRI31.DTL

And slowly the land slid beneath the waves: Rising sea levels due to global warming are inundating low-lying islands and atolls. How long will it be before people start moving to higher ground?
http://www.countercurrents.org/cc-lean261206.htm

POLITICS
Welcome to Gattaca:
This cop wants to create a database of the DNA of everyone –including newborns. This sounds like something from 1984, but it’s real.
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006570242,00.html

They Came for the Immigrants: A stinging indictment of the recent actions taken by the INS.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1220-22.htm

TSA, or Grand Theater for Free: This is an op-ed, but he’s right: airport shenanigans under the TSA are more entertaining than most Broadway plays!
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/17/business/yourmoney/17digi.html?ex=1324011600&en=db7ab439c0c47253&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss

POLLUTION
Pollution = Infertility: An outright scary story on the reproductive problems brought on by all the stuff we are wantonly dumping into the environment.
http://www.alternet.org/story/45684/

ENVIRONMENT

OTHER
All of us are Children:
A cool piece, and written by a UU.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1215-22.htm

100 Ways to Prepare for Peak Oil: I realize that some of my readers are skeptical about the whole PO thing, but I am sending this out as a public service. Plus, since oil usage and climate change are intimately connected –and I haven’t yet heard anyone here argue about the reality of climate change –then living more lightly on the earth can never be a bad thing. Furthermore, as long as we keep using a finite resource such as oil, there will come a day when half of it is gone, the very essence of Peak Oil “theory”. I consider this a major Social Justice issue, because we all know who massive price hikes will hit hardest and first. In addition, if major oil industry analysts like Deffeyes and Brown are correct, peak oil was reached on December 16th -2005. No one is arguing that worldwide oil production has gone down for a full year now, and even OPEC is admitting that there is a day when oil will peak, and that we are nearing it or past it. If OPEC, that master of duplicity and lies, is finally admitting to something like this, we’re in for a bumpy ride. The second link and the quote are to and from the latest OPEC report, where you’ll find the quote below (emphasis mine).
http://www.energybulletin.net/23645.html

"Furthermore, under any of these scenarios, and since peak oil output is not about the time at which oil will run out, but the time at which production can no longer be increased to cope with increased demand, it seems the only way the oil price can go is up.
This conclusion seems to be in line with the view held by the peak oil output advocates who argue that the ongoing oil price rises are mainly due to supply-demand imbalances. This is because we are at, or near, the production peak of world oil, if not on the downward slope of Hubbert’s peak curve. This is not to deny the role of other factors (such as geopolitical), but only to stress the importance of supply and demand for crude oil as the prime factor in determining the price of the commodity."
http://www.opec.org/library/OPEC%20Bulletin/2006/OB11122006.htm

The U.S. is Bankrupt: Another real shocker. Anyone who has to borrow money every single day to keep the lights on isn’t in the best financial shape. Why am I putting this in a SJ Newsletter? Partly because it’s urgent. When the GAO admits things are bad, they’re ten times worse then they look. Partly as a warning –get your finances in order NOW in case things hit the fan soon, which they probably will. And partly because it is a SJ issue –who do you think this will hit the hardest? Not the CEOs with their private jets and twenty million dollar summer cottages!
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/martenson/2006/1217.html

And the money goes to –the rich, of course! This article lays out in amazing detail just how bad and ugly the wealth transfer from poor to rich has been in the U.S. over the past several years. This is the last thing I expected to find in a magazine like Rolling Stone, but I’m glad it’s there!
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/12699486/paul_krugman_on_the_great_wealth_transfer/print

Filthy Rich versus Merely Rich: These two groups, the top .001% of all humanity are now fighting because one group thinks they should be as rich as the other. Unbelievable.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/11/30/opinion/meyer/main2218369.shtml

Left Behind, the Game: Scary. Enough said.
http://www.alternet.org/story/45767/

Website of the Week: Interesting. http://www.healthanddna.com/genealogy.html

UU Joke of the Week: Have you heard the latest UU miracle?
Someone saw the face of Ralph Waldo Emerson on a tortilla.


Have a good weekend everybody!
-Rebecca

So, how much do you care if your kids, or someone else's live or die?
That's pretty much the question, isn't it? How much do you actually care whether you children, or grandchildren, and the children of others get to live decent lives, or if they die horribly of starvation and disease? Because we say we care very much about the future, about sustainability, and the environment, that we worry a lot about climate change and energy issues. But most of us mostly act like we don't care.Don't misunderstand me, I'm not belittling the changes you've made. Those compact flourescent lightbulbs, the recycling, the moving closer to your job, those are important things. But they aren't enough, and we all know it. In order to stabilize climate change, we in the west need to make a 60-70% reduction in our energy consumption. Really, it is probably more, because those figures represent an overall reduction, but we can't ask people who just starting to use coal fired energy to get running water to make a 60% reduction, while we're switching to CFs and hybrid cars. But let's call it 70%. And we need to do it *NOW.* Check out this BBC interview transcript. http://tinyurl.com/5hyoq. It does not quite translate to "we're all gonna die" but it does mean that climate change is much more disastrous than even we've thought. That means within this century, while my kids and grandkids are trying to live most of the coastal cities in the world may well be underwater. There will probably be widespread drought and hunger. And, if the cascade effect of melting the permafrost does release enormous stores of methane, the planet may become uninhabitable.We cannot wait while each of us gets personally more comfortable with reducing our footprint - we have to do it big, and we have to do it today. We can't wait for cheap solar technology, we can't wait for biofuel algae to gas up our pluggable hybrids, we can't wait. The question becomes, what are you willing to do, what sacrifices are you willing to make from your own comfort and happiness in order to make sure that your kids, and millions or billions of other children in the world are not dead and dying in the future.Now I know parents and grandparents. In the short term, we'd all hurl ourselves in front of oncoming buses in order to protect the kids we love, and enable them to have good lives. So, I ask you all, why in hell are we destroying their chances of life and security right now? Why are we consuming the remaining fossil fuels, the ones that may ensure that they can have minimal things like insulin for diabetics and lighting, so that we can have air conditioning and cold beer? Whether or not you have children, I'm going to bet you have an investment in the future - the idea that someday someone will put a stone on your grave, or tell their children about Grandma Leah or Uncle Daniel. Or perhaps just the investment in the idea that the planet was not yours to waste, or in the idea that someday, someone will read Shakespeare like you did, or listen to a piece of music you loved or laugh at the same joke. So why in hell are we throwing that away.When I visited my family recently (burning a good bit of energy to get there), I was talking with my mother and step-mother, who are making real and meaningful changes in their lives. We were talking about paper consumption, and I mentioned that the next step in reducing paper consumption was probably handkerchiefs rather than tissues, and they both instinctively reacted with "ugh." Now I know what they mean, but let's be honest. For centuries, people used cloth handkerchiefs without dying. Is one's personal "ugh" reaction to handkerchiefs, or using your urine to fertilize your garden, or getting to know and butcher the animals you eat, or using a composting toilet really enough to justify the cost that we may be inflicting upon others? Remember, all of that stuff we react to with such hostility *belongs* to us - our wastes and the things we eat are part of us. We can try to pretend they don't really have anything to do with us, that we don't shit or pee, are never dirty or snotty, that the animal corpse on the plate was never a chicken or a cow, but no matter how hard we pretend, we're still killing, we're still shitting, and it is still our responsibility, no matter how hard we try to pass it off on others.The same thing has to do with our instinctive aesthetic assumptions, which are also hard for all of us (me too) to overcome - the fear of looking poor, or cheap leads us in all sorts of dangerous directions. But again, is it so terrible to imagine giving up your car and going to the bicycle, or giving up meat, or replacing that front lawn with edible plants, if the rewards are that someday, your grandkids, or the grandkids of someone who loves them just as much as you do, have enough to eat, home and shelter.Let's be honest, most of us who are adults now have had a lot. We're the wealthiest, most priveleged, most secure, luckiest people in human history. We haven't had to work hard for much. And we're in the odd position of probably being able to maintain our privelege for much of the rest of our lives, if we really work at it. But the cost comes in human lives. And not the lives of people who live out of sight, or downstream or in other countries - we've been doing them harm for decades and it hasn't bothered us much. But now the damage is coming home to roost. Do you want to keep your toaster and your hair dryer, or do you want your kids and grandkids to have food? And if you want them to have food, you have to be willing to give up your priveleges right now, to overcome your instinctive reactions, and also our instinctive urge to protect ourselves and what we have, no matter what the cost to others, and choose differently. We are going to have to give up things that we like and we love and we feel we need.I only hope that we find that what we really like and love and need most is for our kids, and our children's kids, to survive and flourish.Shalom,Sharon

Thursday, December 21, 2006

Grocery Prices on the Rise

This is going to be a short post, as it is Solstice and the last thing I want to do is waste too much celebration time on The Night The Light Returns blogging. But I wanted to write this up before I forget. I went to the grocery store. It was a nightmare in many different ways, not the least of which was the sticker shock. Prices have gone up since the last time I went in. A lot in some cases. They’ve been steadily increasing for a while now, but this sudden jump was quite shocking. Take oatmeal for instance. I keep several months worth on hand. When I start a container I write it on the list to replace. Today I had it on the list, and it has gone up 30 cents since I bought it last! Which wasn’t that long ago. Everything except the special loss leader items had increased in price by at least a few cents.

It’s not like this was unexpected. I knew it was coming and have made preparations, but I didn’t expect it to be this fast or this rapid. The question is, is this a fluke or it the first sign of an emerging trend? Is it just happening here or elsewhere? And if we are all ready having price increases of this sort, how much longer will it be before there are bare shelves in some stores?

At any rate, that’s enough gloominess for tonight. Happy Solstice everyone!

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Luke Skywalker and the Rebel Alliance

“How do you bring down an empire?” The question came from a shrew-eyed history major in the study area of the liberal arts building. It was a rhetorical question; he was speaking to the wall. Propped up on his lap was a book on the history of Rome. No else paid him any mind. I don’t think anyone even noticed. I was seated nearby and heard the question. Startled, I looked at him. For an instant I thought he was talking to me. But then he went back to reading. The question haunted me for quite a while, and I was recently reminded of it.

How do you take down an empire? Assuming that you’re not a rival empire that is. History gives plenty of examples of people who have tried to bring down various empires. Some succeeded. Many more failed. How did they do it? What were the determininants? What approaches worked best? These are the questions I will attempt to answer in this series of essays. I have decided that there are three types of approaches: the Direct, the Indirect, and the Combination approach. I’ll cover the first in this essay and the latter two in later ones. I may follow up with a concluding essay. I am not yet sure.

First my disclaimer (otherwise known as my cover-my-own-ass-I-hope-because-I-would-look-really-bad-in-an-orange-jumpsuit statement): This series of essays is meant to be a rhetorical, thought provoking theoretical exercise. It is in no way meant to be taken literally as something that could or should be done to any currently existing legitimate government and certainly not to the United States government. This applies despite the fact that I consider our current government to be illegitimate and that it is repulsively, repeatedly, flagrantly, callously, shallowly, defiantly, haughtily, violating the most sacred of our documents –the U.S. Constitution –to the point where they are figuratively (and for all I know, literally) using it for toilet paper. And despite the fact that I once swore an oath to uphold said Constitution against ALL comers –foreign and domestic. And that, once again, I think the current incarnation of our government is hell bent on turning that precious document into toilet paper. This statement is made because I don’t like the thought of creepy men in black suits showing up on my door step. If I disappear, call the ACLU. And I guarantee you one thing: I’ll recite said Constitution word for word at my “hearing”, though I doubt many of them will even know what it says. (Article I, Section…)
Okay, on to the essay.
Let’s say you live in a vast, far reaching, very powerful Evil Empire (and what Empire wasn’t Evil? Name it! I dare you.) You want to bring it down. But how do you do this? How can you fracture something so much more powerful than you are? And preferably, do so without ending up dead yourself. As I said before, I see three approaches. The Direct Approach, the Indirect Approach, and the Combination Approach. I call the first approach the Luke Skywalker Method. If you can’t figure out what this one is (and you grew up in mainstream American culture) I suggest getting a CAT scan or taking an IQ test. The second I call Gandhi’s Way. That will be the next installment. Finally, I’ll get into the combination approach. If you can’t figure out how to reconcile Gandhi with Luke Skywalker blasting the Death Star, don’t worry –I haven’t yet fleshed out the details myself. But I have a good idea, and that’s enough to get started. Better to go off half-cocked as they call it then not go off at all! Okay, so where do we go from here? Aside from hell in a handbasket, which is where we’re going anyway. Read on…
Luke Skywalker and the Rebel Alliance
Star Wars. We’ve all seen it. There’s nothing like those last few minutes of A New Hope, watching as Luke valiantly destroys the Death Star, and strikes a blow at the heart of Darkest Evil in the name of all that is good and the Light. Even if you’ve seen it a hundred times and you know how it ends, it still feels the same: the pounding heart, the mounting excitement, the go get ‘em! attitude you can’t help but feel. There is an instinctive, visceral feeling in that victory, one that can’t be adequately described in words but that everyone understands down deep where it counts. It is part of the primeval urge to fight for freedom that exists in every human soul writ large on the movie screen.

Darth Vader was not brought down by emails, or letter writing campaigns, or protest rallies. He was brought down by one teenager with too much bravado and too little of that fear and complacency we call common sense. To paraphrase Robert Heinlein, one pissed off man with a knife (or a TIE fighter) can be a lot more dangerous to TPTB than a nuclear warhead.

Or, as the write of Cryptogon (who is both brilliant and a bit paranoid) put it: “In Star Wars, what finally stopped business as usual on the Death Star? Was it thinking positive thoughts? Was it radiating love to Darth Vader? Was it sending letters to the editor? Was it holding focus groups and drinking organic wheat grass smoothies? Prayers? Waving signs? Voting? Faxing? Spray painting peace symbols on the bulkheads of various ships in the Imperial fleet? Were Darth Vader and the terrifying Death Star stopped by reading web pages? By sending emails? By listening to podcasts? By watching documentaries about The Empire on YouTube and Google Video?”

Not hardly. It was an untrained teenage kid playing soldier, along with the rest of the rebels. Though I must admit the image of spray painting Peace symbols on the ships of the Imperial fleet is more than a little attractive. (I personally would love to do that on the sides of the USS Ronald Reagan, for instance. It would be worth the jail term to see the look on the faces of the Neocons.)

I’m talking armed rebellions, insurrections, guerrilla warfare, insurgencies –anything that would fall under the category of open revolt. This is the tactic most commonly tried when attempting to take down an empire. It has resulted in the most memorable successes and the most spectacular failures. It also has the highest failure rate. But I’ll get to that later.

What makes this the most tried route? Well for one, it’s the obvious one. For the past few thousand years since the Imperial Meme took root in the human consciousness, whenever we are faced with a conflict, we pick up the nearest thing that would be a handy weapon and go at it. Well, most of us do. There are exceptions. I’ll get to them in the next post. This is also often the only route that has any chance of success. (You can write letters to Darth Vader until doomsday, and it ain’t going to do any damn good. That’s the truth. Sorry to be blunt for my fellow peace lovers. Sometimes the only way to get freedom is to fight for it.)

Does it work? Yes –and no. It depends. If there is one lesson history has dealt out over and over again: No Empire can defeat an armed insurgency in a vassal state. It has never, ever happened. Every Empire in history has been taught this lesson, most of them the hard way. This holds as true today as it was for the Egyptians, the Greece, the Romans, the Huns, the Mayans…you get the point. If you are an Empire and you are trying to pacify a conquered state (or rebelling colony) you are going to lose. Period. The British Empire learned this lesson during the American Revolution. The U.S. should have learned it in Vietnam, but instead is learning it again on the bloody sands of Iraq. (As an aside, Mr. Bush, allow me to tell you the truth: unless you turn all of Iraq into a lake of molten glass with nukes, you are not going to “win” this war. Even then, that would cause an uprising of other Muslims around the world who would be determined to bring you down. It ain’t going to happen. Deal with it.)

Now, if you are within the Empire and are rebelling you have a much lower chance of success. For one thing, Empires are big, tough, and wily. They didn’t get to be Empires by being soft and fat. If you are going to take one down you had better be fast, clever, and more deadly –and very, very willing to die for your cause. Chances are you will. Most armed rebellions end in failure. Many succeed, only to see the Empire they toppled replaced with a worse one, either imposed from without by invaders or rising from the ashes of the old one. Nature abhors a vacuum. When taking down an Empire, it is best to know what you intend to replace it with, before you topple it.

Here are what I think are the key reasons for the success or failure of many rebellions: 1.) What is the relative strength of the Empire at the time of the Rebellion? If it is a rising star or near peak, an armed rebellion is not only hopeless, it is suicidal. See the bloody results of all the rebellions in Ancient Rome. On the other hand, if the Empire is all ready going downhill, the odds are much better. The American Revolution is a good example of this one. 2.) How many rebels are involved? If it is just one guy and his buddies, he’d be better off staying home and getting drunk. (From a strategic perspective, that is.) But if the rebellion is popular, well staffed, well organized, and well financed then it’s another matter. Financing you say? Hell yes –even the Rebel Alliance had to buy gas from someone. 3.) Is there an alliance between members of various socioeconomic strata? What I mean by this is, foot soldiers and peasant farmers can often fight but they have no idea how to govern –which leads to things like the mess in France after Bastille Day. Put another way, Han Solo could fight but Leia knew how to govern. Both are needed for a successful rebellion. 4.) What’s the plan for toppling the Empire? Without, you’re screwed. Blunt yes, but the truth. 5.) What is going to replace it? As I said before, this is necessary not to storm the Bastille and end up with Napoleon. Even before the American Revolution leaders among the colonists were drawing up plans for an independent country, and it certainly helped that the colonies were pretty much functioning states on their own.

That’s it in a nutshell. The advantages of this approach are that it is obvious, direct, and feels good to the monkey part of our brains and the part that wants to fight for freedom. John Wayne busting the door down is one hell of an appealing image. The downsides: it’s bloody, costly, time consuming, has a high risk of failure, and will certainly result in the death of many, innocent and not, as well as untold destruction. Not the way I would take, given the choice.

So, is this the most valid option for taking down an empire? Or was Gandhi right, and nonviolence is the only way? (And does that even work?) And if not, what does work? What is the best route? Or is there even one? Perhaps there aren’t any easy answers.

The next essay will be titled Gandhi’s Legacy. In the meantime, any thoughts?

-RAS

P.S. Six gets you ten my phone is tapped before the next installment!

Monday, December 18, 2006

They have pissed off the wrong earth mother!

All,
I need help with something, so I'm turning to everyone on this list because I know how many of us feel about these issues. I live nestled in the valley between Monte Sano and Chapman mountains. All the land next to me is owned by one man, who has decided to develop it. All of it. 420 acres. They are planning to cut down all the woods and put up yet another tract of paperboard McMansions. Uncounted numbers of wildlife live in these woods; deer, birds, squirrels -including several species of raptors on the federal protection list. This is an old growth forest they are planning to cut down to make way for this new monstrosity.
Naturally, I am going to do everything possible to stop it. They've all ready drawn up the plans and the city planning commission meets tomorrow to approve it. (Typically I just got the letter today. The meeting is at 5:00 pm in the Council Chambers on the first floor of the Municipal Building at 308 Fountain Circle. Public comments will be taken. I intend to be there of course, and I could really, really use some support on this. If you care about our local environment, please, please PLEASE come to this. If you can't come, please call and leave your comments, 256-427-5100. Michael Webb and Marie Bostick are the two commissioners in charge of approving this. Terry Properties is the developer. I am also going to start a petition to stop the subdivision. If you want to sign it contact me. I'll come to you if necessary. Email me, or call. I am also open to suggestions on other things I can do to help prevent this. I am going to call a lawyer I know later today. I am not going to let this happen if there is anything I can possibly do to stop it. I may lose the fight, but I have to stand up. They have angered the wrong tree hugging earth mother!
-Rebecca

"The plain fact is that the planet does not need more successful people. But it does desperately need more peacemakers, healers, restorers, storytellers, and lovers of every kind. It needs people who live well in their places. It needs people of moral courage willing to join the fight to make the world habitable and humane. And these qualities have little to do with success as we have defined it." -David Orr, Ecologocial Literacy

"Americans spend more on trash bags than 90 of the world's 210 countries spend on EVERYTHING. Kind of makes you think, doesn't it?" -Me
"The largest one hundred corporations have incomes greater than half the member countries of the U.N." -Betsy Taylor, Center for a New American Dream.
"The Art of Anything Lies in the Details"-Unkown

Sunday, December 10, 2006

Social Justice News, 12-08-06

Hey everybody,
This is going to be a rather abbreviated newsletter, I’m afraid. It’s also late because I thought today was Friday and it turns out its Saturday so I’m up writing. I probably won’t get it sent out until Sunday sometime, so my apologies for that as well. I’ve been working 9 and 10 hour days at the new job and studying for finals, so I haven’t had as much time as I’d have liked to write this.

GOOD NEWS
Away from the Landfill: This group is tackling the huge problem of electronic waste one old computer at a time!
http://content.hamptonroads.com/story.cfm?story=115409&ran=63053

CLIMATE CHANGE
Calculating the Value of Your Grandkids: I ain’t kidding. They’re talking about how to value your grandkids and their future lives/comfort/etc versus your own immediate gratification. Yep –that’s what we should do. Calculate the value of the future of the entire human race.
http://www.economist.com/agenda/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8374354&fsrc=RSS

Famines Ahead: Agriculutral researchers across the world are predicting that famines are coming along with global warming if new strains of crops aren’t found that can take the heat. The warming is expected to drop the harvests in some places by as much as half. Since we currently don’t produce enough food to adequately feed everyone, the results of this are clear.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6200114.stm

POLITICS
My Half-Assed Job:
An Onion piece (it’s satire) about Rumsfeld, which hits really close to the bone!
http://www.thenation.com/doc/20061120/rumsfeld

Your Terrorism Rating: Do you know what it is? Nope. You’re not allowed to know. DHS is now rating every person on a terrorism scale. You can’t see it, there is no appeal, and it stays on your ‘record’ for 40 years! (Oh yeah, and they can share it with contractors, etc too.) And another gross violation of freedom –starting next year, all travelers have to have permission to enter and leave the country.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Terrorism/wireStory?id=2691467

Airport Body X-Rays: Nope, this also isn’t a joke. They’ve started installing full body x-ray machines in certain airports, ones that can see right through your clothing. Now, the software is supposed to ‘cover up’ the um, private areas, but we all know how enterprising young software nerds can change things to their advantage. At any rate, as far as I’m concerned, my entire body is private!
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061201/ap_on_re_us/airport_x_ray_screening

POLLUTION
Eggs in Male Fish:
And other problems. The cause? Hormone altering chemicals dumped into the environment. Are humans at risk too? Look at the soaring rates of cancer, infertility, and other problems. Of course, industry says the two have nothing to do with each other. Maybe. But I’ll bet the day human men start developing eggs that the environment will get cleaned up real quick!
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/12/03/AR2006120300992.html

22 Years This Week: It has been a full 22 years since the Bhopal chemical plant disaster –and the people who did it still haven’t faced justice.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1205-21.htm

ENVIRONMENT
Dare Not to Shop:
A clarion call challenging us all to consume less.
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1204-26.htm

OTHER
Creepy Visa Commercial:
Okay, some might not find this creepy, but I did. The message in this commercial is clear –using cash is bad bad bad. The subliminal message is also that it makes the system slow down and is clearly “un-American”. As is anything different these days. Here’s an even more radical idea than paying for your lunch in cash –brown bag it!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FDTDgVgQ9ic&eurl=

Underground City for Sale: I’m including this for the sole reason that it falls into the category of surreal. The Brits built this complete underground city in the 1950s to house the Queen and government in the event of a nuclear war. Now it’s for sale. This begs the question: if they could build a complete underground city in the 1950s, what in the world have they got now?
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-1849406,00.html

Website of the Week: Mother Earth News: http://www.motherearthnews.com/

UU Joke of the Week: The clergy in other denominations have a hard time figuring us out.
One time at an ecumenical service the Episcopal rector said, "Let us pray. And for you Unitarians, do whatever it is you do."

Have a good weekend everybody!
-Rebecca

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

Creepy Advertising

All right, there are some creepy advertising campaigns going on right now. For instance, here’s the new Visa commercial:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FDTDgVgQ9ic&eurl=
The message here is clearly that using cash is quite an “un-American” thing to do. Here’s something even more radical: don’t buy your lunch, brown bag it!

Oh yes, and then there’s the new cookies and milk advertising campaign. This campaign will encourage you to buy cookies and milk by making bus stops smell like them –thus activating your sensory receptors and all the unconscious baggage that goes along with it. As I said, these things are creepy!
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2006/12/02/BAGE2MO35E1.DTL&type=printable

Sunday, December 03, 2006

Social Justice News, 12-1-06

Note: Hopefully this will finally post!

Hey everybody,
There is a LOT of news this week. I knew what kind of week it was going to be when I had enough to write two or three newsletters on Monday evening. I decided to include most of it, so some of them don’t have the full write-up I usually do. I just didn’t have time to do that for all these stories. On a personal note, I got a job!!!!

GOOD NEWS
Full Faith and Credit: There was finally a ruling this week in the nasty custody dispute between a former lesbian couple. They had a civil union in Vermont, and when they split, the one went to Virginia where gay marriage is outlawed after the court in Vermont ordered child visitation for her partner. A lengthy battle has ensued, which ended today. With these words: “The only question before us is whether, considering the (Parental Kidnapping Prevention Act), Virginia can deny full faith and credit to the orders of the Vermont court.” “It cannot.” The court not only ended the custody dispute, but unwittingly (or not) laid a precedent under which gay marriage bans themselves will eventually be challenged. After all, if the Full Faith and Credit Clause requires you to recognize what amounts to part of a divorce decree, how can they deny the relationship that caused it in the first place?
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15937110/

Ethical Spending: “Green” spending has now surpassed alcohol and cigarettes for the first time, at least in the U.K.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/6187338.stm

David vs. Goliath: Small farmers are finally taking on the big boys –and some of them are winning.
http://www.poughkeepsiejournal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20061125/BUSINESS/611250328/1003

CLIMATE CHANGE
Equal Justice Under The Law: It is inscribed above the grand marble steps, inside the building itself in numerous places, and on almost every souvenir sold in the gift shop. The question is, equal justice for whom? Corporations? The rich or super-rich? Politicians? Special Interest groups? All U.S. Citizens? All human beings? What about polar bears, penguins, and the majority of the world’s birds, all of whom are in danger of extinction due to global warming? Global Warming went to the U.S. Supreme Court this week. This may well be the most important case the Court has ever heard –more important even than Roe or Brown. Why? Because the U.S. is the most powerful country in the world and the biggest emitter of greenhouse gases. At stake in the global warming debate is the future of the entire world –and this case may well tip the balance one way or the other.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/11/29/MNGE7MM1SN41.DTL

Butterflies, Ski-lift operators, and Polar Bears: What do they all have in common? They’re all on the move, trying to outrun climate change. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/25/AR2006112500877.html

Speeding Up: The increase in greenhouse gas emissions has accelerated to 2.5% annual growth, up from 1%. At this rate, we’re on target to make the high end of the IPCC emissions projections –which basically means the world is toast.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6189600.stm

Would you like some carbon dioxide with that? This 3 part series describes how our everyday activities contribute to global warming –and what we can do about it.
http://www.oregonlive.com/special/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/1164336921318820.xml&coll=7
http://www.oregonlive.com/metro/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/116433871936410.xml&coll=7
http://www.oregonlive.com/metro/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/116433873536410.xml&coll=7

10 Questions for Al Gore: A nice interview Time has done with Al Gore.
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1562957,00.html

Exxon Mobil Bans ‘Truth’ from Schools: This group of science teachers refused an offer of 50,000 free copies of An Inconvenient Truth because some members of their board who were major contributors didn’t like it. The most prominent one? Exxon Mobil. Gee, only corporate sponsored “science” is allowed in school these days. Who knew?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/24/AR2006112400789_pf.html

POLITICS
Your brother robbed a bank; you’re DNA, please:
Sound outrageous? Its not; the UK is now going to start collecting the DNA from relatives of those who commit crimes. The police will then target those families and others with “similar genes” when future crimes are committed. Gee, didn’t this happen in a bad sci-fi movie a few years ago? http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/crime/article2016134.ece

No Sex Till 30!!!: The Bush Administration is extending its (complete failure) abstinence programs from teens to all adults under 30. Um yeah, that’ll work. So much for the privacy of your own bedroom. What happens next –sanctions against unwed, adult mothers? Hey, I wouldn’t put it past them to try!
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-10-30-abstinence-message_x.htm?csp=34

Former General Says Rummy Okay Torture: Not only did he approve it, he wrote and signed a memo detailing what he considered acceptable. Sleep deprivation, etc. Something tells me this General will be called to testify at Rumsfeld’s war crimes tribunal in Germany. Mr. Rumsfeld himself may never be able to leave the country again without being arrested for war crimes!
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=topNews&storyid=2006-11-25T164527Z_01_L25726413_RTRUKOC_0_US-IRAQ-RUMSFELD.xml&src=rss

POLLUTION
Stupid New Pesticide Rules:
Sorry, but that’s the way I see it. Farmers will now be allowed to spray their pesticides directly over open water, including lakes and streams. Now, that’s a real bright idea. Don’t kill the bugs, make the pesticide makers lots of dough, and poison the waters. Down the line, the increased cancer rates will make Big Pharma and lots of oncologists happy. Good for everybody –as long as you’re a corporation. Is Bush TYRING to ruin the world? Oops, stupid question, never mind….
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/1128-05.htm

Rubber Duckys and Cancer: Remember those cute rubber duckys you played with as a child? The ones still given to infants to play with? How about teethers, rattles, and baby dolls? Well it turns out that many of these toys contain bisphenol A –a chemical linked with serious health problems, including cancer. The EPA says there is no danger, but Europe has banned them, and now San Francisco is following suit. The toymakers are of course, suing to overturn the ban.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/11/19/TOXICTOYS.TMP

Forever Polluted: The mess created by this nuclear plant will never be entirely cleaned up.
http://www.sundayherald.com/news/heraldnews/display.var.1042207.0.dounreay_will_pollute_for_decades.php

ENVIRONMENT
An “Unexplained” Epidemic:
Asthma rates have gone up 60% in the last few decades, along with severe reactions to things like peanuts. The article says no one understands this epidemic –hmm, have they looked out the window lately? To paraphrase Robin Williams, when you have squirrels outside clutching their throats and going “Help me, I can’t breathe!” something is seriously wrong. My beloved cat I lost last winter had asthma –as does one of the two I’ve adopted this year. Hmm, let me see if can add two and two here…
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/28/health/28seco.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&oref=slogin

OTHER
Stealing Water:
In yet another place on this troubled globe, water has become so precious, so hard to get, that people have turned to stealing it. Mostly not to make a buck either –but to use it for their selves. Where is this place? Its not some developing country you’ve never heard of and can’t find on a map. It is, believe it or not, Australia.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/environment/black-market-in-water-stolen-from-farm-tanks/2006/11/25/1164341447007.html

Evil and Powerful: A collection of all the awful things people are saying about women (mostly in the U.S.). Both funny and scary.
http://www.alternet.org/story/44979/

Dirty Tricks: Junk food companies are still pulling their old tricks in an effort to target kids. Surprised? Nah, me either.
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/1124-04.htm

Food or Ethanol? Demand for ethanol is driving up food prices.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=ayonmpI2Y1dA&refer=news

Phelps not like any Primitive Baptist I know: An Alabama Primitive Baptist discussed Fred Phelps recent visit to Bama.
http://www.demopolistimes.com/articles/2006/11/25/opinion/opinion9985.txt

Website of the Week: The Earth Policy Institue. http://www.earth-policy.org/

UU Joke of the Week: Do UU's ever pray?
Only when they think a Democrat is going to lose an election.

Have a good weekend everybody!